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Tony
Joseph: Mr. Gates, I was going through your
presentations on .Net, and it seems to me that your
strategic approach hasn't changed at all - it's about
creating excitement about a new platform, getting as
many developers behind that platform as possible using a
variety of tactics, and using that proliferation of
applications to dominate the field. The strategic
environment, in that sense, has not changed at all - Net
or no Net.
Bill Gates: You are
right, the basic principles are the same - leading in
the software industry; creating a platform designed for
high volume, low cost; willingness to put in billions
into R&D, just betting on the volumes.
Joseph: Would it be
correct to say that if you succeed to the extent that
you like to succeed, what we would all end up with would
be an operating system for the Web?
Gates: That is
partly right. Of course, the Web would continue to
accommodate many operating systems. But if we do what we
want to do, our operating system would be both the best
and the most popular for getting the most out of the
Web. In the Web, there is space for open standards, for
TCP/IP, HTML. And even the existing and on-going
operating systems - we are going to work with them.
Think about graphical interface. We weren't the only
guys doing graphical interface.
Lots of products whose names are easily remembered by
most (smiles; an allusion to Apple, perhaps), were
there. But Windows just did that better.Any time we do
something, if we do it really well for a period of three
or four years, it is quite popular. But then, there
comes a point when the market expects more. And once
again we have to get the company on to what the next big
thing is going to be.
Joseph: You seem to be
uncomfortable with the phrase, operating system for the
Web. Why would you be?
Gates: Well, because
there will be many operating systems for the Web. It
won't be the only operating system for the Web. It
certainly is an operating system designed around the
next generation of the Web. The Web as we know it today
is about browsers. That is all it is about.... When we
wrote applications for Windows, the arrival of the
browser didn't change those applications in a deep way.
Now we are doing the .Net. So I am basically agreeing
with you. For the new strategy, the way you write the
application would be deeply about the Internet, assuming
that you have a passport that is authenticated, assuming
that you store things up on the Net and it shows up on
the other devices, assuming that you get notified when
something interesting is happening. So it is a new
platform for these new capabilities on the Internet that
just haven't been there before, including things like
speech and handwriting recognition...
Joseph: Today, if you
look at people who get onto a digital environment, I
would imagine 70% of them, 80% of them, would do that
using a Microsoft product. A few years down the line,
when there will be proliferation of new devices in
addition to the PC, would you see that percentage going
down?
Gates: Well, we will
be dealing with a variety of devices. So it is possible
that in one of those device markets, we would be more
successful than in another. In the full screen device,
the PC, you could say we have a strong incumbency to be
the leader there. I think we have a chance if we do the
best job, to be strong in all the devices but the
competition taking place there is super healthy. Think
about how the browser got better as we competed with
Netscape. Now we have the competition with Palm in terms
of the PDA device; we have lot of competitors on the TV
- Liberate, OnTV.
Joseph: When the Net
happened, there was some expectation that we would be
moving into an era of non-proprietary platforms, of open
interfaces. Is that a lost dream?
Gates: I am a little
confused about what that means. The interfaces in
Windows are as open as it could be - you can buy a book
in a bookstore and read about the interfaces to Windows.
Joseph: In the case case
brought by the Department of Justice, wasn't the
openness of Windows interfaces an issue?
Gates:
No. There has never been any question. It is easy to
examine Windows; there are no secrets in Windows.
Capitalism works that way. It is about how companies do
the implementation. Like Nokia makes a new phone using
the GSM standard. Is that proprietary or not? We build
an operating system based on TCP/IP, HTML, XML - which
are completely open standards. But the way we do the
user interface, the way we do the speech, that is what
we compete on.
Joseph: Let me put the
question a little differently. The way you handle this
new .Net platform, is it going to be any different from
the way you handled Windows?
Gates: (Long pause)
No. (Laughs)
You may pay for it by subscribing or something like
that. But no, it is still based on capitalism. That is,
the developers need to buy food; they need to be paid a
salary for that. It is still based on that concept.
(Smiles).
Joseph: This fear that
we could all be moving towards another era of platform
dominance by Microsoft, is that a concern that you would
need to address while trying to get as many developers
on to your side as possible?
Gates: We don't have
any dominance. What we have is a product that is very
popular. (Gets agitated) People buy whatever they want
to buy. There is a lot of confusion about what is going
on. If a movie is popular, is it dominant? No, people
are choosing to buy the ticket and go to the movie.
Software is the ultimate word-of-mouth product. People
buy because friends say, "Hey, this is great, buy
Windows 95, buy Window 2000, buy Office." ... And
what was the question?
Joseph: Let us avoid the
term "dominant." The fear that there could be
one player with a very large market share, is that a
fear that you would need to address?
Gates: Microsoft is
the creator of the large software industry. There was no
large software industry. The fact is, there are millions
and millions of jobs and all this success. That is
because we have created a framework whereby making the
hardware identical, you can have a virtuous cycle of
high volume and low prices and write a software that can
target all those millions of machines. So what has
happened around the software industry has been fantastic
for everybody involved in it. There will always be some
platform that is more popular than another platform.
That is a natural state of affairs. There is just no
getting around it. Whether it comes from Microsoft, or
not. Take the VHS case in videocassettes.
Joseph: To ask a
different question, new devices is an area where
competition, as you said, will be tough. Which of these
devices will be very important to you, what will you be
counting on the most?
Gates: What we are
betting on is the Windows layer which allows people to
choose between those devices, without it affecting how
their applications run. So what we are doing is that we
are ensuring that there will be a variety of devices
because there will be this .Net layer that will mean
that all your information shows up on all the different
devices.
So the various form factors that are popular will have
to do with human factors. The TV will still survive
because you will need something which you sit far away
from, without a keyboard. The PC will be strong because
you will want something which you can sit close up to so
that you can edit documents. The phone form factor,
although it will have a small screen, will survive
because you might like to walk away with something in
your pocket. I don't know whether there will be four or
five or six form factors, and what exactly will be the
mix of features. But the .Net strategy supports all
those devices. The ones that we are keenly interested in
are e-book, phone-sized PDA, TV and PC.
Joseph: There is a line
of argument that says as we move ahead in the computing
world, the focus of activity could move, on the one
hand, to software development on the server-side and, on
the other hand, to embedded software. This would be a
happy development for your competitors. Your comments.
Gates: I am not sure
what you mean by those words. But we have a device for
doing speech recognition. That is not happening on the
server. There is too much latency between you and the
server. That has got to happen right there, on the
device. The cost of microprocessors is going down, not
up. So we have the ability to give people an immediately
responsive device and make that device rich - for
graphics, for games, for business presentations. You are
going to have more power in the device, not less,
because it is so cheap, it is just a
microprocessor.
The people who thought we will go back to centralised
computing, look at what they said about the Network
Computer (Oracle's Larry Ellison was the big proponent
of Network Computer). Go ask anyone who bought a network
computer what it was like. It is easy to forget it. This
is about empowerment. It is not about disempowerment. It
is about empowerment where you can work off-line, you
can buy applications. So the central thing is about a
balance where, when you are connected, you use central
services. But you also have lots of bridge code running
on your behalf when you are not there and even when you
are not connected, that code will keep working for you. ...Continued
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